Special election shakes up balance of power in Iowa Senate
Iowa Senate Republicans lost their supermajority Tuesday after Democrat Catelin Drey won a special election in Senate District 1, according to unofficial results.
The seat opened after Sen. Rocky DeWitt died in June.
Republicans still hold a majority in the chamber, but the result reduces their margin.
“This is a shot in the arm, not only to us, but across the country,” Iowa Democratic Party Chair Rita Hart said, calling the flip of the district a sign of momentum.
“We have clear eyes as to what took place here, what it took to get this victory, and what that means going forward,” Hart said.
Iowa GOP Chair Jeff Kaufmann downplayed the result, saying in a statement that “national Democrats were so desperate for a win that they activated 30,000 volunteers and a flood of national money to win a state senate special election by a few hundred votes.”
Numbers Kauffman took directly from information published by the DNC including an X post from the DNC's Ken Martin.
He added, “If the Democrats think things are suddenly so great again for them in Iowa, they will bring back the caucuses.”
Democrats disputed Kaufmann’s claim, saying only about 300 volunteers made calls for Drey in the race.
In the short term, losing a supermajority could pose challenges for Republicans, political analyst Dennis Goldford said.
“That is needed at times to make certain kinds of appointments, confirmations — if the governor nominates somebody to a particular office,” Goldford said.
Goldford said the outcome points to a potentially busy 2026 election season.
“We don’t know if this is the marker of the beginning of a trend or simply a one-off, but both parties know they’re on alert,” he said.
About 7,600 voters turned out for the special election, compared with roughly 43,000 in the 2024 general election, Goldford noted.
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