Tracking Erin: The latest maps and models

DRIVING OR FLYING INTO THIS? CHRIS I DID, AND FORECASTING A HURRICANE CAN START THOUSANDS OF MILES AWAY AND ALSO THOUSANDS OF FEET IN THE SKY. YOU MAY WONDER WHERE WE GET OUR FORECAST MODELS FROM WITHOUT ANY WEATHER STATIONS IN THE OCEAN. WELL, IT COMES WITH HELP FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTERS. FLYING INTO THE EYE OF A STORM IS A DAUNTING TASK. IT’S A NECESSARY MISSION FOR THE NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS, AND THEY’RE BEGINNING THAT MISSION RIGHT NOW IN THE ISLANDS, GEARING UP FOR POTENTIAL HURRICANE ERIN. THE MISSION TO FLY INTO THE CENTER OF A STORM, DROP A DROP ZONE, AND COLLECT CRUCIAL DATA THAT HELPS NARROW DOWN A COMPLEX FORECAST. A DROP ZONE IS AN INSTRUMENT THAT THEY DROP FROM THE AIRCRAFT THAT, AS IT FALLS, COLLECTS HUMIDITY, TEMPERATURE, PRESSURE, WIND DIRECTION, AND WIND SPEED IN THE EYE OF THE STORM. COMBINING ALL OF THAT DATA AS A SLICE OF THE ATMOSPHERE THAT CAN ENHANCE THE FORECAST TO THE MOST ACCURATE TRACK. I SPOKE WITH SAMANTHA TIMMERS, A HURRICANE HUNTER AND METEOROLOGIST WITH NOAA, ABOUT THE DATA THEY COLLECT AND HOW WE USE THIS IN OUR. FORECASTS. WE HAVE A LOT OF DIFFERENT INSTRUMENTS ON THE PLANE. WE’LL DROP DROPS ONS OUT OF OUR DROP CHUTE, AS WELL AS COLLECT TDR DATA, WHICH IS OUR TAIL DOPPLER RADAR. AND THROUGHOUT THE STORM SERIES WILL FLY SEVERAL MISSIONS AND IN LIKE AN EIGHT HOUR FLIGHT, WE’RE CONSTANTLY DROPPING SONGS AND COLLECTING THAT DATA. THE FLIGHT METEOROLOGIST IS MONITORING AND ALSO SENDING DOWN TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. MORE DATA WILL BE AVAILABLE TO US ABOUT ERIN AND ITS TRACK TOMORROW AND

Hurricane Erin has formed in the Atlantic Ocean. It's the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic season. Here's a look at the latest models: Current cone path of Erin Latest modelsIntensity Models How hurricanes are ratedThe Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale is a 1 to 5 rating based on a hurricane's sustained winds, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Category 3 and above are considered major hurricanes, but precautions should still be taken for Category 1 and Category 2 storms. NOAA and Weather.gov put together the following information that explains how each storm category is defined and what type of damage is expected.Tropical DepressionA tropical depression is a tropical cyclone that has maximum sustained surface winds (one-minute average) of 38 mph or less.Tropical StormA tropical storm is a tropical cyclone that has maximum sustained surface winds ranging from 39-73 mph.Category 1: Sustained winds of 74-95 mphVery dangerous winds will produce some damage: Well-constructed frame homes could have damage to roof, shingles, vinyl siding and gutters. Large branches of trees will snap and shallowly rooted trees may be toppled. Extensive damage to power lines and poles likely will result in power outages that could last a few to several days.Category 2: 96-110 mphExtremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage: Well-constructed frame homes could sustain major roof and siding damage. Many shallowly rooted trees will be snapped or uprooted and block numerous roads. Near-total power loss is expected with outages that could last from several days to weeks.Category 3: 111-129 mph (Major Hurricane)Devastating damage will occur: Well-built framed homes may incur major damage or removal of roof decking and gable ends. Many trees will be snapped or uprooted, blocking numerous roads. Electricity and water will be unavailable for several days to weeks after the storm passes.Category 4: 130-156 mph (Major Hurricane)Catastrophic damage will occur: Well-built framed homes can sustain severe damage with loss of most of the roof structure and/or some exterior walls. Most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.Category 5: 157 mph or higher (Major Hurricane)Catastrophic damage will occur: A high percentage of framed homes will be destroyed, with total roof failure and wall collapse. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last for weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.

Hurricane Erin has formed in the Atlantic Ocean. It's the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic season.

Here's a look at the latest models:

Current cone path of Erin

Hearst Owned

Latest models

HTV

Intensity Models

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How hurricanes are rated

The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale is a 1 to 5 rating based on a hurricane's sustained winds, according to the . Category 3 and above are considered major hurricanes, but precautions should still be taken for Category 1 and Category 2 storms. NOAA and put together the following information that explains how each storm category is defined and what type of damage is expected.

Tropical Depression

A tropical depression is a tropical cyclone that has maximum sustained surface winds (one-minute average) of 38 mph or less.

Tropical Storm

A tropical storm is a tropical cyclone that has maximum sustained surface winds ranging from 39-73 mph.

Category 1: Sustained winds of 74-95 mph

Very dangerous winds will produce some damage: Well-constructed frame homes could have damage to roof, shingles, vinyl siding and gutters. Large branches of trees will snap and shallowly rooted trees may be toppled. Extensive damage to power lines and poles likely will result in power outages that could last a few to several days.

Category 2: 96-110 mph

Extremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage: Well-constructed frame homes could sustain major roof and siding damage. Many shallowly rooted trees will be snapped or uprooted and block numerous roads. Near-total power loss is expected with outages that could last from several days to weeks.

Category 3: 111-129 mph (Major Hurricane)

Devastating damage will occur: Well-built framed homes may incur major damage or removal of roof decking and gable ends. Many trees will be snapped or uprooted, blocking numerous roads. Electricity and water will be unavailable for several days to weeks after the storm passes.

Category 4: 130-156 mph (Major Hurricane)

Catastrophic damage will occur: Well-built framed homes can sustain severe damage with loss of most of the roof structure and/or some exterior walls. Most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.

Category 5: 157 mph or higher (Major Hurricane)

Catastrophic damage will occur: A high percentage of framed homes will be destroyed, with total roof failure and wall collapse. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last for weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.

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